ma4utopia |
Gold User, Member, TeleChart
|
Registered User |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
|
Tuesday, December 7, 2004 |
Friday, October 17, 2008 8:31:48 AM |
20 [0.01% of all post / 0.00 posts per day] |
|
bump
|
we need volume
|
suicide unless you bought put options
|
[quote=len613]QUOTE
If you look at long-term charts, the last time volatility was this low was in 1995. If you got out then you missed one of the great bull markets in history.
Let the seller beware!
i use the vix not as a tool to tell me to sell my positions. i use it as a way of hedgeing my positions and make more money with options. i didnt sell one share of my portofolio.
|
Its now a little over a month after my original post.. lets see what the vix was telling us.. remember i said the market was showing overbought signs with the vix indicator.. and it was time for a sell off... boy was the vix right
on 12/23/2004 the vix was a low of 11.14 and the DOW was at 10864
one month later
on 1/24/2005 the vix moved up to 14.17... a 27.19% increase and the dow moved down 4.56% to 10368 THE VIX FORCASTED THIS MOVE DOWN.... ITS A GREAT INDICATOR..
i made over 45 % on my djx put options in less than 3 weeks... long live the VIX
|
iip has also been showing up on my scans.. using money flow as a main indicator.with BOP as a secondary.
|
i do a good amount of market timing for index trading.. with covered call writing.
understand the vix is a volitity index for the CBOE... i use it as a leading indicator to the future mkt.
when the vix recently hit its 9 year low i knew its time to take profits on some of my long term positions. so far the timing part was perfect but its at its genesis ...lets see if the vix was a good leading indicator that we will have a small sell off.. give it a month and i think the vix will be near the upper teens and the dow will be about 200-300 points lower..
|
if you look at this great indicator.. you can see that its telling us that the market has been very overbought for a few weeks.. anyone else follow the vix as a trading tool? its worked for me for years...
|
I GUESS PLACEMENT OF CHARTS ARE NOT ALLOWED ON THIS FORUM.. THE MODERATOR EDITED IT OUT..
|
BE CAUTIOUS OF POSSIBLE DELISTING BUT ITS LOOKING GREAT.
|
|