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Linebacker
Posted : Monday, August 10, 2009 8:19:04 PM
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Joined: 5/6/2009
Posts: 10

My indicators show a pretty high probability that we're about to get a correction.  I'll be doing some selective shorting.  Possibly even a few island reversals if we get a gap down.

Oddly enough, oil and many oil service stocks look like a good short here also.

This rally has been a volumeless rally to say the least, if it does pull back I hope it serves as a good long entry.

Apsll
Posted : Monday, August 10, 2009 9:11:13 PM

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Joined: 3/21/2006
Posts: 4,308
How are you Linebacker.

Some traders (myself included) look at this rally as a correction and that a return to the longer term Bear markets is on the horrizon. Do not bet on any dirrection to deeply however and play what is in front of you now.

Keep a log of how this turns out, it could give you some insight durring similar market action in the future...

Good luck.
traderm30
Posted : Monday, August 10, 2009 10:54:19 PM
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Joined: 1/12/2009
Posts: 235
And what indicators might those be?
Linebacker
Posted : Tuesday, August 11, 2009 4:02:32 PM
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Joined: 5/6/2009
Posts: 10
QUOTE (Apsll)

Some traders (myself included) look at this rally as a correction and that a return to the longer term Bear markets is on the horrizon. Do not bet on any dirrection to deeply however and play what is in front of you now.


A definate possibility.  

Don't be fooled by the date next to my name, I let my old account lapse and had to set up a new one.  I've been a TC user since the 90's.
Apsll
Posted : Wednesday, August 12, 2009 6:31:23 AM

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Joined: 3/21/2006
Posts: 4,308
I wish that I had been savy enough to have found the Wordens way back then. I only started to study charts in the mid 90's after finding out that a "Bull Market" meant that my IRA's (that I had left to others to manage since I started them in the 80's), were now sky rocketing to the moon.

I did not start trading until the late 90's. So you got me beat Linebacker. Did you ever post on this forum under another name? I would love to read some of your threads....

As far as the Markets go in current days; I think that since March the markets have been in a bearish rising wedge while the dollar has been in a bullish falling wedge. The dollar if we are to trust the pattern has now broken to the upside as stocks look like they have made a top. But I have thought that we were topping a few times recently and have been proved wrong so. I would not be shocked if the SPX goes to 2000. The markets seem to be reversing off the October/November 2008 highs right now but we will see.

When I look at a ten year weekly chart then I see todays action looking very close to the early 2001 price action. Maybe I am wrong to compare one Bear market to another but I am studying charts in my free time and I guess that after a while the eyes will start to see things. 

Anyway I am very busy these days and thought that I would sneek this post in.

Good luck to you linebacker and it is always good to have an old pro around...

Apsll.
wse
Posted : Wednesday, August 12, 2009 5:41:56 PM
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Joined: 12/18/2008
Posts: 150
i think this market is starting to look good for shorts even with todays rally...

i'd look to short SPY and use a stop of about 102
wse
Posted : Friday, August 14, 2009 12:05:36 PM
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Joined: 12/18/2008
Posts: 150
QUOTE (wse)
i think this market is starting to look good for shorts even with todays rally...

i'd look to short SPY and use a stop of about 102



anyone else short in SPY?
davidjohnhall
Posted : Friday, August 14, 2009 12:11:36 PM

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Joined: 6/6/2005
Posts: 1,157
I'm long SMN aka short basic materials. 1st target $15.98.
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