| quanttrader |
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Member, TeleChart
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| Saturday, July 9, 2005 |
| Wednesday, August 10, 2005 10:59:28 PM |
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http://www.groups.yahoo.com/group/AAQuants/join http://www.groups.yahoo.com/group/AAQuants/join
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 Long + : WMT, CAG, DPH, HRL ///:/// Short: PPC. Good Luck & Do Your Own Research Scans. for more information :(URL removed by moderator) <:o)
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That is all great from a Technical Analysis point of View. GANN felt that the markets moved in Patterns up & down & that one might be able to draw conclusions & anticipate the markets next move. That is for the post that said Gann's Theory was Complex it is not. However Everone is missing the bigger point ! Money Moves the Markets & remember this Big Money Goes Where Money Can Grow. There fore you are missing out ot on Liquidity Flow Analysis : One Can divide the market's participants into 4 groups. (1) Odd Lotter's - Indivudal investors, This Group is usually on the wrong side of the market. (2) Instutional investors - Mutual Funds, One Typically sees a lot of Money Flow - Quuaterly Heavy Months OCT & April Next. (3) Instutions for their own Accounts. { Investment Banks & Their Brokerages for their own accounts. } They are the ** SMART Money. (4) Indivudal Instutional Investors. Also Considered Smart Money. Remember if Mutual Funds & or Instutional Investors are buying they will Lift the underlying issue just by sheer Volum. The Main Reason that the Markets have risen are due to a ** TAX Amnesity ** That was passed in January of 2005. That allowed Corporations with Overseas Operations to Invest Monies back into the U.S. Tax Free. This is a one time deal good for 1 year. So Far there is approx : 5 Billion slated to be reinvested back into the U.S. in the fourm of Stock Repurchases. (ie) The Companies purchase their own shares. That has led to Instutions {knowing} which companies are Reinvesting into their own issues to become buyers of those underlying issues. Hence the move upwards this year. Now for the interesting part only Approx : 1.5 Billion of the expeced 5 Billion has so far flowed into theses issues. That Leaves approx: 3.5 Billion to hit yet. Also every-one here so far has forgotten about the 4 Year Business Cycle which interstingly enough coincides with the Election Cycle. Hence Historical Analysis Also look into Seasonal Analysis. Fundamentaly a lot of companies are over priced now. Note A lot of Companies are at their psychological piviot point. Fibonacci Re tracements. For more on Float Analysis which touches on Liquidity Flows : (removed by Moderator)
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Well I feel that Platinum gave you a good list of reading material. Also even more important Platinum seems to understand that Prudent Money-Management techniques are the cornerstone to success. I would also agree with Gold as to having a mentor. Now I would advise Paper Trading for at least 1 year. One should also understand Economics, Mathematics, Market Psychology, Technical Analysis, Fundamental Analysis & Most Impt Risk Management. (removed by Moderator)
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A Must Join Investment Club ! (link removed by Moderator)
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(ad removed by Moderator) : Link : (link removed by Moderator) The Club Provides Quantitative Analysis of the Global Financial Markets, News, Data, Reports etc... + Educational Articles on Trading & Investing.
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