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Worden Discussion Forum » Customer Training & Support » PCFs, EasyScan and Custom Indicators » PCF is creating error when tested.
Hi Diceman,
I got the idea from Dr. Elder's book "Trading for a Living" wherein he described Larry Williams' Accumulation/Distribution indicator. This indicator, in the form of ((C-O)/(H-L))*V, credits bulls or bears with only a fraction of each day's volume. This fraction depends on the day's range and the distance from the opening to the closing price. The greater the spread between opening and closing price relative to the daily range, the greater the change in Accumulation/Distribution.
I plotted the indicator using a 14 bar simple moving average and checked the Center Zero Line. I made the color black so that it would not show up on the chart but would show the zero line. Then I constructed three exponential moving averages of this indicator. The indicators have a period of 3 bars, 7 bars, and 13 bars respectively. The 3 bar indicator is a solid line colored green. The 7 bar indicator is a dotted line colored yellow and the 13 bar indicator is a dashed line colored red. It is interesting to note that this indicator does not work for all stocks or in all time frames. But it does work with most stocks. I use it in combination with other indicators including the pseudo-Impulse System described elsewhere in this forum.
Of course this indicator, like any other indicator, is not perfect but it can be quite reliable most of the time. I trade in the direction of the greenline relative to the other two and the strength of the trend is indicated by the degree of divergence. The overall strength of the stock is indicated by this indicator's position relative to the zero line.
After I constructed the indicator and began to see how it reacted to price and volume I liked what I saw. My goal is to trade short-term using the weekly and daily charts. This indicator, while allowing me to manage my trades on a daily basis, allows me to make good entries intraday. I have found the indicator works quite reliably down to the 5 minute charts. So those traders who choose to enter and exit trades the same day may find this indicator useful.
As I started seeing strong patterns emerge showing short and intermediate term trend reversals, I wanted to develop PCFs to scan for these patterns. The PCF above scans for stocks where the greenline of the above indicator was below zero a month ago, the greenline is below the yellow and red lines, and all three lines have been trending lower for the past month (based on consecutive 5 bar periods). I was able to construct the above PCF in a few minutes by using my Excel spreadsheet PCF generator.
The next PCF I will develop will expand on the one above by scanning for the follow-on period where the indicator has turned up with the greenline crossing up through the yellow and red lines indicating a short-term bottom and the trend is now up. Following that I will develop other PCFs that will look for the reverse for short candidates.
Thanks for the interest and happy trading :-)
Regards, Richard
Hi Richard!
I am a big fan of Dr. Elder as well, and I'm finishing my third book by him. Could I possibly get a copy of the spreadsheet? This would help a lot with managing the SafeZone.
Thanks!
Brit in Nashville