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Noticed last Thursday DJ30 got a Sir Oversold's green spike = higher market? Rate this Topic:
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signaltap
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 8:35:11 AM
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scottnlena
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 10:39:16 AM

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We're probably due for it.

What is the formula for Sir Oversolds spikes ?
hhanna85
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 1:26:03 PM
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scottnlena; check worden report for formula 1-04-08.
scottnlena
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 3:38:03 PM

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For those curious the apropriate PCF was:

L<((2.95*MINL15.7)-MAXH7.3)/2 AND STOC50.3 < 10 AND L<L1

seems pretty nice.  I didn't read the report.. so I'm not certain how else this is filtered.

However i'm not certain if I have this one right or not.  It Seems correct in the formula from what is printed in the report but it's saying that generaly everythign is over bought.

If I have an error I can't see it ... any thoughts?
H > ((3.05* MAXH15.7) - MINL 7.3)/2 AND H> H1 AND STOC 50.3 > 50 AND TSV 3< TSV 8

realitycheck
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 5:50:58 PM
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Joined: 9/25/2007
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Scott ...

We're talking about an indicator ... right ? not a PCF ?

I tried it like this ...

H>((3.05*MAXH15.7)-MINL7.3)/2 AND H>H1 AND STOC50.3>50 AND TSV3<TSV8

As adding an indicator ...

But ... I keep getting an error saying that the indicator must not return a boolean value ...

So ... apparently there has to be something to change a True or False to a 1 or 0 ...


diceman
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 6:02:51 PM
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A "percent true" indicator.

Thanks
diceman
realitycheck
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 7:37:23 PM
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QUOTE (diceman)
A "percent true" indicator.



Thanks

diceman


Thanks diceman ...

realitycheck
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 8:00:02 PM
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Not sure what I'm doing wrong/different ...



But ... I'm not getting any spikes unless I goto multi-day ... and then ... they are definitely in the wrong place ...

realitycheck
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 8:34:15 PM
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OK ... I was using the overbought indicator ...

But ... when I use the oversold indicator like this ...



The only spike I get is August 16 ...

realitycheck
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 8:35:45 PM
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Doh !!

Never mind ... 

I was on the NYSE chart ...

realitycheck
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 8:44:50 PM
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I don't know about this signaltap2 ...

I decided to take it back and apply it to the last H&S that I knew of in the Dow ....



Betting the farm on a bunch of "longs" here wouldn't have worked out all that well ....



driger
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 8:46:07 PM

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looking at the dow since 2000, sir oversold's indicator didn't spike everytime the market was severly oversold, and there were some times when the indicator spiked and the rally was rather muted. with all this overhead the indicator will be put to the test. the incator also gave quite a few false signals in the qqqq's in 2001 & 2002.

so no a "holy grail" but a useful tool, when combined with other indicators.
driger
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 9:02:28 PM

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a weekly stochastic gives about the same reading.
diceman
Posted : Monday, January 14, 2008 10:26:01 PM
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Joined: 1/28/2005
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 "so no a "holy grail" but a useful tool, when combined with other indicators."
---------------------------------------------------------------------
 
I'm not sure but its possible (I haven't looked) that these indicators
Overbought/Oversold may have more us with individual stocks.
 
Its possible indexes aren't friendly to these indicators because
they are less volatile.
 
Maybe a "milder" version would work better for indexes.
 
 
Thanks
diceman
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